Dillon claims first truck win at Iowa

Autoracing Betting Lines

07/11/2010 - Newton, IA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Rookie Austin Dillon became a first time winner in the Camping World Truck Series by taking Sunday's Lucas Oil 200 at Iowa Speedway.

Dillon, the grandson of NASCAR multi-team owner Richard Childress, put on a dominating performance by leading 187 of 205 laps. However, he had to hold off Johnny Sauter in a green-white-checkered finish to capture his first truck win in just 12 starts. Jason White blew a right-front tire in the closing laps, which setup the two-lap overtime finish.

"This truck was awesome," Dillon said. "By that last restart, I knew it wasn't going to be that easy. My grandpa [Richard Childress] kept telling me what line to choose, and I was saying, 'that's alright; we're going to win the race.' You got to have confidence, and that's what we had."

Dillon made his series debut last September in the inaugural race at Iowa.

Childress, the owner of Dillon's No.3 Chevrolet, arrived at the 0.875-mile track earlier in the day after Saturday night's Sprint Cup Series race at Chicagoland Speedway, which was won by David Reutimann. Dillon drives the same number made famous by Dale Earnhardt, who won six of his seven Cup titles with Childress.

"It really is special," Childress said. "Dale would be proud. I got pictures of Dale holding him in winners' circle, and he would be proud to see Austin do this."

At the age of 20 years, two months and 37 days, Dillon became the second youngest race winner in series history. Kyle Busch holds the record as the youngest driver to win a truck race at 20 years and 18 days.

"I just wanted to do it for the fans of this 3," Dillon said. "This 3 is a good number to run, and I'm glad I'm running it. I feel very fortunate. I want to win a lot, and hopefully this is the first one of many."

Dillon set a series record on Saturday when he became the first rookie to win three consecutive poles. He also started on the pole at Texas and Michigan prior to Iowa.

Sauter finished second, while Matt Crafton, Ken Schrader and James Buescher completed the top-five.

"When you get that close like we did a couple of weeks ago when we finished second at Texas, you just want to win them; nonetheless, it wasn't meant to be," Sauter said.

While Dillon took the checkered flag at Iowa, the top-four drivers in points -- Todd Bodine, Aric Almirola, Ron Hornaday Jr. and Timothy Peters -- had their share of problems on the track.

Despite finishing 17th, Bodine widened his lead to 88 points over Almirola, who won the last truck race in June at Michigan. Bodine was caught up in a multi-car incident which occurred just after a restart on lap 113. Donny Lia made contact with the wall and bumped into Brian Ickler, who then put newcomer Greg Pursley into a spin. During the incident, Hornaday Jr. got hit from behind and then rammed into Bodine. Hornaday, the four-time and defending series champion, suffered heavy damage to his truck and wound up finishing 24th.

"Somebody checked up there," Hornaday said. "I got to the outside, and somebody shot low, and they socked me in the front."

Almirola was running in fourth when he blew a tire and slammed into the wall on lap 75. Almirola's Billy Ballew Motorsports teammate Steve Wallace also cut a tire and hit the wall earlier in the race.

"These are the kind of days we're trying to avoid," said Almirola, who finished 28th. "We felt like we had a really good truck."

Peters suffered engine failure just past the half-way point and ended up finishing 27th.

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Horse Betting

(This is an update of a sportsbook for the May 4th issue of ESPN The Magazine).

The Kentucky Derby's post-position draw happened on Wednesday. And, as is always the case, shortly afterwards, a buzz raced around Churchill Downs. It was a low rumble at first, nothing that the squares in the mint julep crowd pick up right away. But by the time the sun set over the twin spires, the chatter was impossible to ignore. Everyone -- sharps, trainers, owners -- was talking about one thing: the wise guy horse, the pre-draw long shot us mopes didn't have on our radar until it was too late.

"You think you're hearing the scoop," says handicapper Lane Gold. "Then you get to the window, the odds are short, and you missed it."

Recognizing a wise-guy horse early is as hard as picking a Derby bonnet. That's because handicappers don't like hype (see ya, I Want Revenge). They want Thoroughbreds who look good losing prep races like the Santa Anita Derby. They eye horses who ate up the field after starting wide or made an easy transition from synthetic tracks to dirt. They look for ponies who showed muscle gain race to race and those who ran hard after several weeks' rest.

"A wise guy," says John Avello, a bookmaker at Wynn Las Vegas, "looks for a horse who can improve."

When I first wrote Horse Betting for The Mag, which I turned in a three weeks before Wednesday's draw, I predicted these three horses had wise guy potential:

CHOCOLATE CANDY (15-1 in mid-April, currently 20-1 according to Avello): His second-place finish at Santa Anita, following a seven-week layoff, proved two things: He can run after resting, and -- by losing a high-profile prep race -- he wouldn't be overhyped.

DESERT PARTY (15-1; 15-1): He was upset in the UAE Derby by a horse he had beaten twice. The public remembers his loss, but the wise guys his wins.

PIONEEROF THE NILE (8-1; 4-1): The big favorite at Santa Anita struggled to win, so he initially got less hype than Quality Road and I Want Revenge.

You may have noticed that the odds on Pioneerof the Nile have been cut in half, from 8-1 to 4-1. Which means the wise guys took a shine to him long before the post-position draw. But, to be honest, this is one of those years with four elite horses getting everyone's attention, squares and sharps alike.

"You're not gonna get a lot of chatter about a horse that isn't in that group, which includes Pioneer, I Want Revenge, Dunkirk and Friesan Fire," Avello told me Wednesday. "We don't have a group of horses behind those top four who look like real legit contenders."

Come Derby week, the final two elements in picking a wise guy horse are how he's working out and what gate he's coming out of.

(By the way, picking a Preakness favorite is a whole different bale of hay, partially based on how horses finish in the Derby. You can see my analysis of who has the best shot at Pimlico on Insider Sunday morning.)

Well, early in the week I Want Revenge, Pioneerof the Nile and Friesan Fire were working out better than anyone. Some thought Friesan Fire, currently 6-1, might have run too fast, burning a five-furlong run in :57 4/5. "When you are running that fast you have the sense that it took something out of him," says Gold. "The Derby is longer than any horse has run, and if they need that extra surge you worry they won't have it because they burned it in the workout."

But, Gold points out, Friesan Fire's trainer is Larry Jones, Two years ago his horse Hard Spun did a five-eighths workout in :57 3/5 and then went on to finish second, behind Street Sense, in the Derby. "Every trainer has different methods," says Gold. "And clearly he knows what he's doing."

Now, as for starting position, Gold says to remember this: Churchill Downs traditionally has 14 starting gates. For the Derby, it brings out auxiliary gates and between the original 14th gate and the new 15th gate, there is a little more space than there is between gates 1-14. "That 15 position will give you a precious second or two to sort out what's happening to your inside," says Gold. "Sixteen is also okay because you can follow the horse in front of you."

Dunkirk, one of the race favorites, is coming out of gate 15. In 16 is Baffert's Pioneerof the Nile. I Want Revenge drew 13, where Smarty Jones won from in 2004, and Friesan Fire picked the sixth position. "He doesn't have a lot of speed to the inside of him," says Gold. "So he will get a clear shot to be near the front."

All the jibber-jabber means this: Pioneerof the Nile has leapfrogged from 8-1 to being the second favorite, along with Dunkirk, behind I Want Revenge. Meanwhile, Friesan Fire, with a good trainer, a strong week of training and a decent post position, is still at 6-1. "By Saturday, it's possible he could go from fourth to the favorite," says Gold.

In other words, meet Friesan Fire, your 2009 wise guy horse.

"Now," says Avello, "it's time for action."

To visit this horse betting site go to MySportsbook.com for all your horse racing betting needs.